It evaluates satellite images, air pressure, temperature, and earlier weather patterns.

Question:
Why can a weather AI predict rain more and more often even though it is supposed to be more accurate?

Solution

The AI was optimized to avoid missing rain whenever possible.

If it prefers warning once too often rather than once too little,

it will also react to weak or uncertain signals.

This helps it detect some real weather changes earlier,

but it also creates more false alarms.

To users, it then looks

as if the AI is exaggerating.

Result:
Anyone who wants to warn as safely as possible
will often produce more false alerts —
because caution and accuracy are not always the same thing.

The Weather Bot That Keeps Warning About Rain

Solution